Analysis report on the eight focuses of China's pa

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2007 analysis report on the eight focuses of China's paper industry

the output of the whole industry increased, the domestic demand was higher than the output, the import of paper and paperboard decreased, the export volume continued to rise, the import of pulp and waste paper increased, the demand for high-quality products increased, the industry competition intensified, and anti-dumping incidents increased

from November 27 to 29, you are welcome to call our company at any time to hold the China International Paper and Equipment Expo 2006 and 2007 at the Beijing exhibition hall. At the same time, the organizer held a symposium on accelerating the development of new material industry. At the meeting, five experts introduced the paper industry

Zhaowei, Secretary General of China Paper Association, talked about the production and marketing situation and forecast of the paper industry. According to Zhao Wei, in 2005, 3342 paper-making enterprises achieved a profit of 12.3 billion yuan, with a debt ratio of 60.8%. There were 662 loss making enterprises, accounting for 19.8% of the total number of enterprises; 11 provinces have an annual output of more than one million tons, about 41million tons, accounting for 74% of the total output, which indicates that the industry concentration is high

Zhao Wei predicted that the total output of the whole industry in 2006 was 64million tons, an increase of 14% year-on-year; The estimated consumption is 65.5 million tons, an increase of 11% year-on-year

import and export change greatly. The total amount of imported paper and paperboard decreased significantly, with a year-on-year decrease of 16%. Exports increased significantly, with a year-on-year increase of 66%. The increase in import volume was mainly due to the year-on-year increase of packaging varieties by 25% and the year-on-year increase of special paper by 10%. The import volume of paper, coated paper, white cardboard and other varieties showed a downward trend year on year. It is estimated that China's total import volume this year will be 4.5 million tons. The export volume was significantly higher, estimated to be more than 3 million tons, an increase of 60% year-on-year. The volume of imported pulp continues to increase, which is expected to be 8.1 million tons, an increase of 8% year-on-year. The amount of waste paper imported is expected to exceed 20million tons, with a year-on-year increase of 17.4%

Mr. zhangdali, vice president of bellillin Paper Asia Pacific, pointed out in his speech entitled supply and demand of commodity pulp and future development that from the 1990s to the beginning of this century, the growth rate of global demand was 2%, that of Asia was the largest, that of China was the fastest, at 4.8%, that of North America was 1%, and that Japan had negative growth. The growth rate of bleached coniferous pulp was less than 1% and that of broad-leaved pulp was 2%. As the technical development and the use of additives can also make up for the strength problems of some broad-leaved pulp, in the future, the broad-leaved pulp will develop to a single tree species, such as eucalyptus, acacia, etc. The new area of broad-leaved pulp production mainly comes from Latin America, more than 50%. Commercial pulp suppliers are concentrated, and the top 10 Global Suppliers account for 1/3 of the world's pulp supply

Mr. lvjianhua, CEO of pulp and paper business, pointed out in his speech on waste paper supply and future development trend that in 2005, the world's paper and paperboard output was 367million tons, and the consumption was 360million tons. The supply and demand were basically the same. About 184million tons of waste paper raw materials were used in the world, with a year-on-year increase of 5.1%; The consumption was 180million tons, a year-on-year increase of 3%. The world's waste paper is reused for 4 times

it is estimated that China will import 2000 tons of waste paper in 2006, accounting for about 50% of the total waste paper. At present, the recycling rate of waste paper in the United States is 51%. In 10 years, the domestic waste paper will not increase much, that is, 60%. Many pulp and paper mills in the United States are built in the southern forest area, using raw fiber as raw material, which is more economical than using waste paper. However, the government has stipulated that waste paper must be added to paper and paperboard. In 2005, the export volume of waste paper from the United States was 14.4 million tons, and the waste paper exported to China was 6.98 million tons, accounting for 48% of the total export volume. From January to September 2006, the amount of waste paper exported from the United States to China was 8.5 million tons, an increase of 22% year-on-year. The main type of waste paper was cardboard. The quality of waste paper in various packing yards in the United States is different. When China purchases American waste paper, it should go directly to the packing point in the United States to select it

at the meeting, Mr. caozhenlei, President of China pulp and paper research institute, delivered a speech entitled the current situation and future development of coated paper production. He pointed out that in 1999 and 2000, China imported the largest amount of coated paper. The reason is that the old domestic coated paper enterprises still use outdated technology and equipment, and the products produced are not competitive. In recent years, the import volume of coated paper in China has decreased and the export volume has increased. The reason is that the coated paper industry has completed the integration, and competitive enterprises have come up. They have used advanced technology and equipment that can compete with the world. In addition, the price of inorganic salts for coating in China is cheap, which greatly increases the competitiveness of products

China's white cardboard industry is well equipped, with a high degree of production concentration, and the production is mainly oriented to domestic demand. At present, the import volume of white card paper has decreased while the export volume has increased

when analyzing the production status and development trend of packaging paper and paperboard, Mr. chenesheng, chairman of China Haicheng Engineering Technology Co., Ltd., pointed out that the production industry of packaging paper and paperboard is highly concentrated, and the top 10 enterprises have an output of 7.4 million tons. Production and consumption in this field are concentrated in the Pearl River Delta, Yangtze River Delta, Bohai rim and other regions. The large paperboard machine has a single unit output of 400000 tons/year, and even has equipment of 700000 tons/year. The trend of equipment is how long to form, and the requirements for pulp purification are increased

the proportion of foreign investment in the industry has further increased. The industry competition is becoming increasingly fierce, and the profits are further reduced. Domestic products are gradually developing towards high-end products, of which high-end products account for 25% and low-end products account for 55%. The self-control ability of enterprises will be improved through dialogue with future industry elites, and it is easier to change production varieties

at the meeting, experts talked about the problems existing in the industry and the future development direction. They believe that the development of the industry has accelerated, the loss has increased, the product inventory has increased, and the accounts receivable have increased

according to expert analysis, it is expected that the output of the whole industry will continue to increase in 2007; Domestic demand has been higher than production for a long time; Imported paper and paperboard still account for a certain share and will continue to decline; Exports continue to rise; Pulp and waste paper imports continued to rise; High quality products need to be increased; The competition will be more intense in the future; Anti dumping continues to increase

reproduced from: Report

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